Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Liverpool.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
