Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Cerrito.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Liverpool
Saturday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 29 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 29 | 16 | 52 |
| 3 | Boston River | 28 | 10 | 49 |
Last Game: Cerrito 1-5 River Plate
Monday, September 5 at 5.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, September 5 at 5.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Montevideo City Torque | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 28 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 28 | -40 | 13 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerrito |
52.21% ( 0.27) | 26.43% ( -0.06) | 21.36% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 43.87% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
