Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Fenix.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.
