Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
