Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
