Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
