Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
39.84% | 26.6% | 33.56% |
Both teams to score 51.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.97% | 53.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.38% | 74.62% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% | 26.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.84% | 61.16% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.18% | 29.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.1% | 65.9% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.84% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 75 |
2 | Lazio | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 61 |
3 | Juventus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 59 |
4 | Roma | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 56 |
5 | AC Milan | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 |
6 | Inter Milan | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 51 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 49 |
8 | Bologna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 44 |
9 | Fiorentina | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Torino | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 |
12 | Udinese | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
13 | Monza | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 38 |
14 | Salernitana | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
15 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 |
16 | Lecce | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
18 | SpeziaSpezia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 |
20 | Sampdoria | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 51 | -32 | 16 |
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