Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
