Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
25.68% | 22.49% | 51.82% |
Both teams to score 60.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.93% | 39.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.61% | 61.39% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% | 28.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.12% | 63.88% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% | 15.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% | 43.87% |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 6.48% 1-0 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 3.44% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.57% Total : 25.68% | 1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 6.04% 0-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.84% 0-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.8% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 75 |
2 | Lazio | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 61 |
3 | Juventus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 59 |
4 | Roma | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 56 |
5 | AC Milan | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
6 | Inter Milan | 31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 54 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 49 |
8 | Bologna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 44 |
9 | Udinese | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Monza | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 41 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 |
14 | Salernitana | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
15 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 32 |
16 | Lecce | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 28 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 27 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
19 | Cremonese | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 19 |
20 | Sampdoria | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
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