Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Parma had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
51.68% | 24.88% | 23.44% |
Both teams to score 50.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.45% | 51.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% | 73.34% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% | 19.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% | 52.08% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% | 36.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% | 73.6% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
3 | Roma | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 38 |
6 | AC Milan | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Torino | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 30 |
8 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 29 |
9 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
10 | Empoli | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 26 |
11 | Monza | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
12 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
13 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
14 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 |
16 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 18 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 13 |
19 | Sampdoria | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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