Bologna
3 - 2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Salernitana |
| 50.52% | 23.03% | 26.45% |
| Both teams to score 59.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
