Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Torino had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
70.6% | 17.99% | 11.41% |
Both teams to score 47.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.58% | 42.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% | 64.82% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.22% | 10.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.22% | 34.78% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.6% | 46.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.97% | 82.02% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
2-0 @ 12.4% 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-0 @ 5.13% 4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.72% 5-0 @ 2.29% 5-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.88% Total : 70.58% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.78% Total : 17.99% | 0-1 @ 3.84% 1-2 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.87% Total : 11.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
3 | AC Milan | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 41 |
4 | Roma | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 40 |
5 | Lazio | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 39 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 38 |
7 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
8 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 29 |
9 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
10 | Juventus | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
11 | Monza | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 26 |
12 | Empoli | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 26 |
13 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 |
16 | Salernitana | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 18 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 14 |
19 | Sampdoria | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 10 |
20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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