Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
