Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.83%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
