Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
