Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
35.45% | 28.25% | 36.3% |
Both teams to score 47.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.81% | 59.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.38% | 79.62% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.31% | 31.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.89% | 68.11% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.85% | 31.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.52% | 67.48% |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.44% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 81 | 32 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 32 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 50 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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