Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
38.09% | 28.55% | 33.36% |
Both teams to score 45.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.6% | 60.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.46% | 80.54% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% | 30.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.11% | 66.89% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% | 33.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.64% | 70.36% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.08% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 16 | 52 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 64 |
3 | Braga | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 62 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 54 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 41 |
7 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
8 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 36 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 34 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
12 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 50 | -29 | 19 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 15 |
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