Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
61.69% | 22.59% | 15.71% |
Both teams to score 45.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.54% | 52.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.87% | 74.13% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.44% | 16.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.67% | 46.32% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.02% | 45.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.3% | 81.7% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 13.68% 2-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 5.74% 4-0 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.76% Total : 61.67% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.91% 1-2 @ 4.13% 0-2 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 1.07% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.34% Total : 15.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
3 | Braga | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 61 | 24 | 37 | 65 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
8 | Casa Pia | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 39 |
9 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 35 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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