Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.