Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
23.61% | 25.91% | 50.48% |
Both teams to score 47.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.64% | 55.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.43% | 76.57% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.21% | 38.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.47% | 75.53% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.02% | 21.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.72% | 55.29% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 8.08% 2-1 @ 5.79% 2-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.39% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.5% Total : 23.61% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 12.92% 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 29 | 53 | 73 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 62 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 54 |
6 | Aston Villa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 54 |
7 | Liverpool | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 53 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
9 | Brentford | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 47 |
10 | Fulham | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 45 |
11 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 37 |
14 | Bournemouth | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 36 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 34 |
16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 30 |
18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
19 | Everton | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 28 |
20 | Southampton | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 24 |
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