We say: Liverpool 2-0 Luton Town
Luton's efforts against a free-scoring Man United side were commendable, and the Hatters have developed a resilient streak on the road in recent weeks, but losing the aerially dominant Adebayo is a massive blow.
As a result, Liverpool fans can feel optimistic about a first clean sheet since the turn of the year, and even with injuries piling up again, the hosts still possess enough attacking verve to wear down a fatigued Luton rearguard.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 79.33%. A draw has a probability of 12.7% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 7.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Luton Town win it is 1-2 (2.44%).