Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Arsenal |
51.52% ( -0.07) | 22.2% ( 0.32) | 26.28% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 62.54% ( -1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.86% ( -1.78) | 37.14% ( 1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.66% ( -1.95) | 59.33% ( 1.95) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( -0.65) | 14.63% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.24% ( -1.27) | 42.76% ( 1.27) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% ( -1.12) | 26.73% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38% ( -1.5) | 61.99% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Arsenal |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.27% Total : 51.52% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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