Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 13, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds
2 - 2
Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Sam Allardyce's first home game in charge of Leeds United ends in a fiery 2-2 draw with Newcastle United in Saturday's early Premier League kickoff at Elland Road.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
20.85% ( 0.01) | 21.95% ( 0) | 57.19% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( 0.01) | 42.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.01) | 64.41% ( -0.01) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.02) | 33.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.4% ( 0.02) | 70.59% ( -0.02) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( -0) | 14.48% |
