Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
