Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southend United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southend United.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Barnet |
57.25% | 22.45% | 20.31% |
Both teams to score 54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% | 44.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% | 67.29% |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.55% | 15.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.69% | 44.31% |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% | 36.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.09% | 72.91% |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Barnet |
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.73% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.5% Total : 57.24% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.68% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 84 |
2 | Notts County | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 83 |
3 | Woking | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 62 |
4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
5 | Chesterfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 55 |
6 | Eastleigh | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 54 |
7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
8 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 52 |
9 | Bromley | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 48 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 46 |
12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 46 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 42 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 40 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 38 |
18 | York City | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 36 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 33 |
20 | Gateshead | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 33 |
21 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 29 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 27 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 24 |
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