Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Atlanta United |
53.78% | 23.16% | 23.06% |
Both teams to score 55.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.24% | 44.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% | 67.13% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.42% | 16.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.62% | 46.38% |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% | 33.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.95% | 70.05% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Atlanta United |
1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 5.36% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.78% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.08% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 63 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 53 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 46 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 42 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 36 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 63 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 53 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 46 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 42 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 36 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 27 |