Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
38.07% | 25.64% | 36.29% |
Both teams to score 55.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.4% | 48.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.28% | 70.71% |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% | 25.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% | 59.7% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.98% | 26.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.95% | 61.05% |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 46 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Orlando City | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 45 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 41 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 46 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Orlando City | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 45 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 41 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |