Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
72.12% | 16.23% | 11.65% |
Both teams to score 55.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.86% | 33.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.11% | 54.89% |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.97% | 8.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.72% | 28.28% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.22% | 39.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.55% | 76.45% |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 8.54% 1-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 7.88% 4-0 @ 5.39% 4-1 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 3.63% 5-0 @ 2.72% 5-1 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 2.29% 5-2 @ 1.16% 6-0 @ 1.14% 6-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.27% Total : 72.12% | 1-1 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.32% 0-0 @ 3.19% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.23% | 1-2 @ 3.42% 0-1 @ 2.94% 0-2 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.55% Total : 11.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 57 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 49 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 35 |
10 | Toronto | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 25 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 57 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 49 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 35 |
10 | Toronto | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 25 |