Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.