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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
46.41% ( -0) | 25.6% ( 0) | 27.99% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.94% ( -0.02) | 51.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( -0.01) | 72.91% ( 0.01) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% ( -0.01) | 21.99% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.71% ( -0.01) | 55.29% ( 0.01) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% ( -0.01) | 32.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( -0.01) | 69.28% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Orlando City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
8 | Toronto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
13 | DC United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
5 | Dallas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
10 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |