Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 8.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
77.28% | 14.1% | 8.62% |
Both teams to score 51.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.81% | 32.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.21% | 53.79% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.23% | 6.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.01% | 24.99% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.14% | 44.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.18% | 80.82% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 11.01% 3-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.83% 1-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 7.93% 4-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 5.34% 5-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-1 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 2.14% 6-0 @ 1.61% 6-1 @ 1.29% 5-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.62% Total : 77.28% | 1-1 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 3.54% 0-0 @ 3.04% Other @ 0.98% Total : 14.1% | 1-2 @ 2.63% 0-1 @ 2.43% 0-2 @ 0.98% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.64% Total : 8.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 75 |
2 | Marseille | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 70 |
3 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 50 | 16 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Clermont | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 49 |
9 | Nice | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 48 |
10 | Lorient | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 48 |
11 | Reims | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 47 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
14 | Auxerre | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 33 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 32 |
16 | NantesNantes | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
17 | Brest | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
19 | Ajaccio | 33 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 22 |
R | Angers | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 14 |
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