Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
