Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Brest |
54.76% ( 0.17) | 24.35% ( -0.08) | 20.89% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.94% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.9% ( 0.22) | 52.1% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.18% ( 0.19) | 73.82% ( -0.19) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.06% ( 0.15) | 18.93% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.55% ( 0.25) | 50.44% ( -0.25) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.37% ( 0.02) | 39.63% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.69% ( 0.02) | 76.31% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.75% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |