Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Dijon |
57.83% | 25.16% | 17.01% |
Both teams to score 40.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.39% | 59.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.06% | 79.93% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.34% | 20.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.76% | 53.23% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.46% | 48.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.38% | 83.62% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Dijon |
1-0 @ 15.81% 2-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 4.74% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.08% Total : 57.82% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.44% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 4.13% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 54 |
2 | Marseille | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 49 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Lens | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 46 |
5 | Lille | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 41 |
6 | Rennes | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 40 |
7 | Nice | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 38 |
8 | Lorient | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Lyon | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
10 | Reims | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Clermont | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
13 | NantesNantes | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 28 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 23 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Brest | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 20 |
17 | Troyes | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 19 |
18 | Ajaccio | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 18 |
19 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 18 |
20 | Angers | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 10 |
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