Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
44.1% | 27.42% | 28.48% |
Both teams to score 47.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.21% | 57.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.48% | 78.52% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.95% | 26.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.91% | 61.09% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.07% | 35.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.29% | 72.71% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.96% Total : 28.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 9 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Lens | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 36 |
3 | Rennes | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
4 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Lorient | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 28 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Lille | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
8 | Lyon | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 21 |
9 | Nice | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 20 |
10 | Clermont | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Reims | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
12 | Toulouse | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
13 | Troyes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 14 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 14 |
15 | NantesNantes | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Brest | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Auxerre | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 13 |
18 | Ajaccio | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
19 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 11 |
20 | Angers | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 8 |
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