Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
