Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
