The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Salford City | 46 | 14 | 70 |
| 11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 12 | Crawley Town | 46 | -10 | 61 |
We said: Port Vale 2-1 Newport County
Although Port Vale have lost their last two matches, we think that the possibility of moving back into the top three will drive them to a narrow victory over a Newport side who have won just one of their last seven games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Newport County |
| 42.82% | 27.15% | 30.02% |
| Both teams to score 48.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
