Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
