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Walsall
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at MEMS Priestfield Stadium
League Two | Gameweek 21
Gillingham
0 - 2
Bradford

Tutonda (66'), Lapslie (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smallwood (27'), Cook (49')
Platt (52')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Bradford City

Despite an improved performance in the FA Cup on Thursday night, Gillingham should not pose too much of a threat to Bradford on Sunday. The Gills have real issues scoring goals, while the visitors have won two of their last three away matches in the league, and are much the superior side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bradford City in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawBradford City
39.87% (0.471 0.47) 29.36% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 30.77% (-0.505 -0.5)
Both teams to score 43.17% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.45% (-0.223 -0.22)63.55% (0.225 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.14% (-0.159 -0.16)82.86% (0.161 0.16)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.16699999999999 0.17)31.16% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (0.195 0.2)67.5% (-0.193 -0.19)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71% (-0.505 -0.51)37.29% (0.507 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-0.504 -0.5)74.07% (0.506 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 39.86%
    Bradford City 30.77%
    Draw 29.34%
GillinghamDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.61% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.34%
0-1 @ 11.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 30.77%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Bradford

Gillingham
31.6%
Draw
21.1%
Bradford City
47.4%
57
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gillingham
4-0
Bradford
Charles-Cook (48'), Eaves (65', 90'), List (69')

O'Brien (24'), Wright (61')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Bradford
1-0
Gillingham
Poleon (48')
Warnock (43'), Brunker (90'), Devine (90')

Zakuani (62')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Gillingham
0-1
Bradford

Lacey (31'), Byrne (55')
Wilkinson (75')
Poleon (19')
Reeves (22'), Patrick (29'), McMahon (62')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Bradford
2-2
Gillingham
Wyke (15'), McMahon (38')
Wright (14'), Oshilaja (49')
Dack (36'), Garmston (73'), Ehmer (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient432512658292987
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage432113957391876
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4320121168511772
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon431513155851758
11Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
12Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
13Grimsby Town431413164654-855
14Newport CountyNewport431314164750-353
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe421215154153-1251
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
21Harrogate TownHarrogate431015185364-1145
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734

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