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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
38.26% | 27.66% | 34.08% |
Both teams to score 48.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.93% | 57.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.05% | 77.95% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% | 28.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% | 64.78% |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.49% | 31.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.1% | 67.9% |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 73 |
2 | Stevenage | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 67 |
3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 65 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 60 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Salford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 56 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 50 |
13 | Walsall | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 48 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 48 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 42 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
20 | Gillingham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 38 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 32 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 31 |
24 | Rochdale | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 26 |
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