We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Rochdale
Carlisle picked up a crucial win at the weekend and will feel refreshed and desperate to boost their survival bid, but they take on a Rochdale side in fine form and could fall just short.
The Dale have been particularly impressive recently, and we back them to leave Brunton Park with all three points, given the quality throughout their squad.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
