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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
31.92% | 26.34% | 41.74% |
Both teams to score 52.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.63% | 52.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.95% | 74.05% |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.42% | 30.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.19% | 66.8% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% | 24.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.62% | 59.38% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.92% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
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