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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a win it was 0-1 (6.71%).
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
58.51% | 24.05% | 17.43% |
Both teams to score 44.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.72% | 55.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.5% | 76.5% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.28% | 18.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.92% | 50.07% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.57% | 45.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.73% | 81.26% |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 14.24% 2-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 5.26% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 2.08% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.97% Total : 58.5% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 8.5% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.49% Total : 17.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 43 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 41 |
4 | Barnsley | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 32 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Portsmouth | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 29 |
9 | Port Vale | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 29 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 26 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 26 |
13 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
14 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 25 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 25 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 25 |
17 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 24 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 23 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 21 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 20 |
21 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 17 |
22 | MK Dons | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 15 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 15 |
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