The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cambridge United | 46 | -18 | 58 |
| 15 | Cheltenham Town | 46 | -14 | 56 |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 46 | -16 | 53 |
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 46 | -34 | 40 |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | -45 | 38 |
We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Gillingham
Cheltenham can afford to take their foot off the gas slightly with survival assured, but Duff will not accept such complacency at home, where they have prevailed more often than not in recent weeks. Gillingham have looked a far more composed outfit since the turn of the year, but it is still difficult to know what to expect from Harris's side on a weekly basis, and the home advantage just tips this one in Cheltenham's favour. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 60.65% | 22.6% | 16.75% |
| Both teams to score 47.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
