Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
