Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for University College Dublin had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest University College Dublin win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Drogheda United in this match.