Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
