Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
42.96% | 28.84% | 28.19% |
Both teams to score 43.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.29% | 62.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.75% | 82.25% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% | 28.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% | 64.86% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.13% | 38.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.4% | 75.59% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.94% 2-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.17% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.53% Total : 28.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 15 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
3 | Real Madrid | 35 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 71 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 65 |
5 | Villarreal | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 60 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 56 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 50 |
8 | GironaGirona | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Sevilla | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 47 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 46 |
12 | Mallorca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 44 |
13 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 40 |
14 | Almeria | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
16 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 35 |
18 | Getafe | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 35 |
19 | Espanyol | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 34 |
R | ElcheElche | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | 65 | -38 | 20 |
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