Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
47.53% | 27.27% | 25.2% |
Both teams to score 45.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.97% | 59.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.51% | 79.49% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.09% | 24.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.47% | 59.53% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.62% | 39.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.92% | 76.08% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.52% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 9.81% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.44% Total : 25.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | GironaGirona | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Barcelona | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 17 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
5 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
7 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
8 | Valencia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
9 | CadizCadiz | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
10 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Sevilla | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
13 | Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
14 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
15 | Mallorca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 5 |
18 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
19 | Granada | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 3 |
20 | Almeria | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 2 |
> La Liga Full Table |